某工厂的需求预测和库存管控问题

《某工厂的需求预测和库存管控问题》由会员分享，可在线阅读，更多相关《某工厂的需求预测和库存管控问题（23页珍藏版）》请在文档大全上搜索。

1、学学 号：号：201214770404201214770404、201214770411201214770411 、201214770401201214770401201214770120201214770120、201214770122201214770122、201214770123201214770123课程设计说明书课程设计说明书COURSE DESIGN THESIS设计题目：某工厂的需求预测和库存管控问题设计题目：某工厂的需求预测和库存管控问题学生姓名：张娟、陈旺顺、魏闪闪、钟传亮、王家栋、唐世科学生姓名：张娟、陈旺顺、魏闪闪、钟传亮、王家栋、唐世科专业班级：专业班级：12 物流工

2、程物流工程 1学学 院：建筑工程学院院：建筑工程学院指导教师：董博指导教师：董博 2015 年年 6 月月 12 日日摘 要-I-摘 要存货管理是企业内部控制的重要环节,是企业实现经营目标,贯彻经营方针和决策,维护流动资产安全与完整,保证财务收支合法、会计信息真实性的一种内部自我协调、制约和监督的控制系统。作为一项重要的流动资产，它的存在势必占用大量的流动资金。通过实施正确的存货管理方法，来降低企业的平均资金占用水平，提高存货的流转速度和总资产周转率，才能最终提高企业的经济效益。当前，制造企业面临市场竞争激烈、客户需求多变、客户订单提前期短、原材料采购周期长、库存控制困难等问题，企业的库存成本

3、，特别是配件及半成品的库存需要占用大量的流动资金，成为企业发展的关键影响因素。因此库存与库存管理越来越为企业所重视，减少原材料库存、降低其库存成本是库存管理的关键，也是企业“第三个利润源泉”的重点所在。 在银行贷款紧缩、利率大幅提升及汇率不断爬升的宏观经济环境影响下，如何降低库存成本，加速企业资金周转率的问题变得更为突出。预测是对未来可能发生的情况的预计与推测,预测不仅是长期战略性决策的重要输入,而且是短期日常经营活动的重要依据。在组织内部，预测为个部门的计划编制提供了基础。本报告对上海某工厂进行需求预测与库存管控分析，通过其每个月销售数据计算分析，并进行合理安排管控，已达到减少缺货、降低库存

4、和实现循环排产的目的。关键词 存货； 存货管理；库存； 需求预测Abstract-II-AbstractInventory management is an important part of internal control is the company achieve their business objectives, implementing the business policy and decision-making, maintaining security and integrity of current assets to ensure financial balance l

5、egal, accounting information authenticity of an internal self-coordination, control and supervision control system. As Current assets, its existence is bound to use up a lot of liquidity. Through the implementation of proper inventory management methods, to reduce the level of enterprises, the avera

6、ge amount of funds used to improve inventory turnover rate and total asset turnover, can ultimately improve the economic efficiency of enterprises. At present, manufacturing enterprises are facing intense market competition, changing customer demands, customer order lead time is short, long cycle of

7、 raw materials procurement, stock control problems and other issues, inventory costs, especially the inventory of parts and semi-finished products take a lot of liquidity,the key factors of enterprises development. So, inventory and inventory management have become more and more important for busine

8、sses, reducing raw material inventory and lowering inventory costs is the key to inventory management, and the third source of profits have been the focus of the enterprise. With the contraction of loan, interest rates increased significantly and the exchange rate under the influence of macro-econom

9、ic environment continue to climb, how to reduce inventory costs, and accelerate the capital turnover rate has become more prominent. Predict the future possible situation is expected to speculate that predict long-term strategic decision-making is not only an important input, and is the important ba

10、sis of short-term daily business activities. Within the organization, forecast plan provides the basis for a department. This report for a factory in Shanghai demand forecasting and inventory control analysis, calculation and analysis, through its monthly sales data and make reasonable arrangement o

11、f controls, has reached to reduce out of stock, reduce inventory, and realize the purpose of the cycle of production scheduling. KeywordsKeywords InventoryInventory；Inventory management；JIT；demand forecastingKeywords examination system; automatic test paper; database; genetic algorithm 目 录-III-目 录课程